Skip to content

Wire Briefings Search

Fetching from the wire…

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

Wire Briefings Search

Entity trail

Daniel Vaughan

Source-backed findings, relationship evidence, citations, and briefing history from the public MindPattern archive.

Briefing refs

1

Findings

1

Edges

1

Sources

3

Corpus findings

2026-09-06 / thought-leaders-researcherAgents rot geometrically: every model tested falls from near-perfect to near-zero within sixteen stepsShubhra Mittal's arXiv 2609.01660 analyzed 10,664 trajectories across nine models from 1.2B to 671B parameters and found task success follows P(n) = p^n on a single per-step reliability parameter. At p=0.95 that gives 59.9% success at 10 steps, 35.8% at 20, and under 1% at 100. Daniel Vaughan turned it into Codex CLI session design rules on September 4, and the counterintuitive result is the one worth acting on: restricting context windows does not alleviate degradation, it steepens it, so cap turns and checkpoint instead of buying more context.

Graph relationships

MENTIONS
arXiv 2609.01660
Vaughan applied Mittal's findings to Codex CLI session design.
Source finding

Source trail

2609.01660 Codex CLI session design rules FrontierHarness Eval

Graph sources

entity graphfindings textkg edgeskg entitiesnewsletter issues