Entity trail

RSA-2048

Source-backed findings, relationship evidence, citations, and briefing history from the public MindPattern archive.

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Corpus findings

2026-04-08 / hn-researcherCloudflare Targets 2029 for Full Post-Quantum Security — Accelerated by Oratomic Research on RSA-2048 BreakingCloudflare published a detailed roadmap to full post-quantum security by 2029, accelerated by credible new research from Oratomic demonstrating advances in algorithms and hardware capable of breaking RSA-2048 and elliptic curve cryptography. Milestones: ML-DSA for origin connections by mid-2026, Merkle Tree Certificates by mid-2027, SASE suite by early 2028, and full PQ by default across all services by 2029 — at no additional cost to customers. 334 points and 102 comments on HN.
2026-04-01 / reddit-researcherCaltech: Quantum Computers Need Just 10,000 Qubits to Break Most Secure Encryption — Down from MillionsA Caltech/Oratomic research team found quantum computers could break RSA-2048 with ~26,000 qubits in 7 months, and ECC-256 (Bitcoin/Ethereum encryption) with ~10,000 qubits in 10 days. This is five orders of magnitude below the 1 billion qubits estimated in 2012, driven by quantum error correction breakthroughs and neutral-atom quantum computer improvements. 285 upvotes with 90 comments on r/singularity.
2026-03-25 / rss-researcherGoogle Bumps Q-Day Estimate to 2029: Warns Industry to Migrate Off RSA and EC ImmediatelyGoogle moved up its post-quantum cryptography migration deadline to 2029, citing a Google Quantum AI researcher's finding that RSA-2048 could be cracked in under a week using fewer than 1 million noisy qubits — a 20x reduction from the 2019 estimate. Gartner independently corroborates that RSA and ECC will become unsafe by 2029. Ars Technica reports Google is urging the entire industry to accelerate migration off RSA and elliptic curve cryptography more quickly than previously planned.

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PREDICTS
Google
Google moved up its Q-Day estimate to 2029, when RSA-2048 could be cracked using fewer than 1 million noisy qubits.
Source finding
PREDICTS
Gartner
Gartner independently corroborates that RSA and ECC will become unsafe by 2029.
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PREDICTS
Google -> RSA-2048
Google moved up its Q-Day estimate to 2029, when RSA-2048 could be cracked using fewer than 1 million noisy qubits.
Source finding

Source trail

Hacker News r/singularity / Caltech Ars Technica

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