Anthropic's Jack Clark at Oxford: 60%+ Probability of Recursive Self-Improvement by End of 2028
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At an Oxford talk covered on May 23, Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark predicted a Nobel-worthy AI breakthrough within 12 months and estimated a 60%+ probability of recursive self-improvement (AI training its own successor) by end of 2028. Anthropic's research agenda now officially documents 'intelligence explosion' as a predicted outcome.