Hacker News
How Long Until AI Automates All Cognitive Labor? FutureSearch Tracker Shows Expert Timelines Compressing Fast
FutureSearch launched an AGI timeline tracker aggregating predictions from AI lab CEOs and researchers. Every expert who updated their timeline from January to April 2026 moved it sooner. Amodei: AGI by 2027. Suleyman: human-level professional tasks in 12-18 months. The tracker highlights the gap between accelerating expert confidence and Yale Budget Lab data showing no measurable occupational displacement yet. 45 points, 81 comments on HN.
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