Amodei 90%-Code Claim Gets 'Claim Chowder' Treatment — Daring Fireball Fact-Checks March 2025 Prediction

Daring Fireball·high signal

Daring Fireball (March 13) flagged Amodei's March 2025 prediction that AI would write 90% of code 'within 3-6 months' as now overdue for verification. Separately, Amodei doubled down at a Morgan Stanley conference this week, asserting scaling has not plateaued and that AI will write 90% of code imminently — with 'essentially all' code within 12 months. The juxtaposition of the original missed timeline with renewed bold claims is drawing public scrutiny from developers.