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Policy2026-08-12 · source-backed
Justin Wang and Dan Robinson's RSI Simulator is a browser game where you run an AI lab allocating labor, compute and data toward superintelligence, built on the Elasticity Institute's economics of recursive self-improvement (Paradigm). The model turns on elasticities, chiefly the elasticity of discovery rate to current model capability, and its conclusions push against standard fast-takeoff intuition: compute and data bottlenecks bind even for superhuman researchers, acceleration is likely intermittent rather than continuous, narrow recursive improvement probably precedes general. Pedagogical, not predictive, per the authors, with a separate parameter explorer. Read alongside Dwarkesh Patel's 2h13m argument with Redwood's Ryan Greenblatt, whose median for automating AI R&D is 2031 (Dwarkesh).
Each link below shares sources, entities, or timing with this story.
Shared entity: Dwarkesh Patel / Same source domain / Shared topic / Earlier coverage / Tension
Both cover Dwarkesh Patel; reported by the same outlet (youtube.com); overlapping topics (argu, data).
Shared entity: Dwarkesh Patel / Shared topic / Earlier coverage / Tension
Both cover Dwarkesh Patel; overlapping topics (against, compute); earlier Dwarkesh Patel coverage from 2026-08-03.
Shared entity: Dwarkesh Patel / Same source domain / Earlier coverage / Tension
Both cover Dwarkesh Patel; reported by the same outlet (youtube.com); earlier Dwarkesh Patel coverage from 2026-03-21.
Shared entity: Dwarkesh Patel / Shared topic / Earlier coverage
Both cover Dwarkesh Patel; overlapping topics (argu, argument, model); earlier Dwarkesh Patel coverage from 2026-08-11.
Both cover Dwarkesh Patel; overlapping topics (argu, compute, data); earlier Dwarkesh Patel coverage from 2026-06-10.
Shared entity: Dwarkesh Patel / Same source domain / Earlier coverage
Both cover Dwarkesh Patel; reported by the same outlet (youtube.com); earlier Dwarkesh Patel coverage from 2026-06-28.
Shared entity: Dwarkesh / Shared topic / Earlier coverage
Both cover Dwarkesh; overlapping topics (argument, data); earlier Dwarkesh coverage from 2026-06-24.
Shared topic / Tension
Overlapping topics (alongside, argu, argument, model); pushes against this story (but).