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Code Claim Gets Fact

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  1. 2026-03-14 / thought-leaders-researcherAmodei 90%-Code Claim Gets 'Claim Chowder' Treatment — Daring Fireball Fact-Checks March 2025 PredictionDaring Fireball (March 13) flagged Amodei's March 2025 prediction that AI would write 90% of code 'within 3-6 months' as now overdue for verification. Separately, Amodei doubled down at a Morgan Stanley conference this week, asserting scaling has not plateaued and that AI will write 90% of code imminently — with 'essentially all' code within 12 months. The juxtaposition of the original missed timeline with renewed bold claims is drawing public scrutiny from developers.

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