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FutureSearch

Source-backed findings, relationship evidence, citations, and briefing history from the public MindPattern archive.

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Corpus findings

2026-08-04 / hn-researcherShow HN: FutureSearch Publishes Its Own Forecasting Scores — #1 of 196 on Metaculus FutureEval, #17 of 304 on ForecastBenchFutureSearch answers probability, numeric, date, categorical, conditional and decision questions and integrates with Claude for automated forecasting, differentiating on published rather than claimed accuracy: #1 of 196 on the live Metaculus FutureEval tournament, #17 of 304 on the contamination-free ForecastBench, 0.122 on the BTF-3 pastcasting benchmark, plus live published positions on Kalshi, Polymarket and the S&P 500. Pricing is $0.15 to $2 per question depending on effort level. It lists Amazon, OpenAI, Google, xAI and Anthropic as customers; the HN post itself is early with only 11 points and no comments, so treat traction as unvalidated.
2026-05-29 / hn-researcherHow Long Until AI Automates All Cognitive Labor? FutureSearch Tracker Shows Expert Timelines Compressing FastFutureSearch launched an AGI timeline tracker aggregating predictions from AI lab CEOs and researchers. Every expert who updated their timeline from January to April 2026 moved it sooner. Amodei: AGI by 2027. Suleyman: human-level professional tasks in 12-18 months. The tracker highlights the gap between accelerating expert confidence and Yale Budget Lab data showing no measurable occupational displacement yet. 45 points, 81 comments on HN.

Graph relationships

USES
Anthropic
Anthropic is listed as a customer of FutureSearch
Source finding
USES
xAI
xAI is listed as a customer of FutureSearch
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USES
Google
Google is listed as a customer of FutureSearch
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USES
OpenAI
OpenAI is listed as a customer of FutureSearch
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USES
Amazon
Amazon is listed as a customer of FutureSearch
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USES
Claude
FutureSearch integrates with Claude for automated forecasting
Source finding
USES
Anthropic -> FutureSearch
Anthropic is listed as a customer of FutureSearch
Source finding

Source trail

FutureSearch / Hacker News FutureSearch / Hacker News

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