Jake Gold: warning people doesn't require a made-up probability.

Gold's September 14 post attacks attaching precise numbers to AI existential risk, targeting Evan Hubinger's "greater than 10% chance that AI kills all humans in the next decade" (jacob.gold). His argument is about implied credentials: a stated probability signals to a general audience both domain expertise and empirical backing that nobody in this field has. He grants the underlying risks deserve discussion. Huang made a structurally identical objection onstage the same day, calling the practice irresponsible, which is a strange pair of allies.